Will Nifty 50 and Sensex crash or rally on July 23, 2025? Uncover Bank Nifty’s next move, top gainers, losers, and stocks to watch. Dive into expert predictions, support-resistance levels, and latest news to seize trading opportunities in India’s volatile stock market!
The Indian stock market continues to navigate a complex landscape influenced by global cues, domestic earnings, and macroeconomic factors. As we approach Wednesday, July 23, 2025, investors and traders are keenly observing the Nifty 50, Sensex, and Bank Nifty for potential opportunities. This blog provides a comprehensive analysis of support and resistance levels, market predictions, top gainers and losers, and stocks to watch, leveraging the latest data to guide your trading decisions. Stay ahead with expert insights into Indian stock market trends, technical analysis, and latest news to optimize your investment strategy.
Market Overview: Sensex, Nifty 50, and Bank Nifty
The Indian equity markets have been under pressure recently, with the Nifty 50 closing at 24,968.40, down 143.05 points, and the Sensex at 81,757.73, declining 501.51 points on July 18, 2025, reflecting a bearish sentiment driven by profit booking and global uncertainties. Bank Nifty closed at 56,283, down 0.83%, signaling a consolidation phase after a prolonged uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Nifty is trending below 50, indicating short-term weakness, while Bank Nifty’s RSI at 61.16 suggests a mildly bearish bias with potential for sideways movement.
Global cues, including mixed signals from U.S. markets, rising crude oil prices, and geopolitical tensions, are weighing on investor sentiment. The GIFT Nifty futures, a key indicator for the Indian market’s opening, were trading at 24,970, down 62 points, suggesting a gap-down opening on July 23, 2025. Despite this, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) provided support with net buying of ₹3,036 crore, countering foreign institutional investor (FII) selling of ₹1,561 crore.
Key Factors Influencing the Market on July 23, 2025
- Earnings Season: Q1 FY26 earnings from heavyweights like Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank will drive stock-specific movements. Disappointing results, such as those from TCS, have already pressured the IT sector.
- Global Cues: U.S. futures are flat, while Asian markets, including Japan’s Nikkei (up over 600 points) and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (down 0.42%), show mixed trends. Rising crude oil prices due to disruptions in Iraq add inflationary concerns for India.
- Technical Indicators: The Nifty 50 is trading within an ascending channel but faces resistance at 25,650–25,670. A break above could target 25,800–26,000, while a fall below 24,920 may trigger further downside. Bank Nifty support lies at 55,500–56,000, with resistance at 56,500–57,000.
- Macroeconomic Factors: The Indian rupee weakened to 86.23 against the U.S. dollar, impacted by rising crude prices and a stronger dollar. The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) commentary on rate cuts remains a key focus.
Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels
Nifty 50
- Support: 24,900–24,920 (immediate), 24,770 (strong)
- Resistance: 25,200 (20-day EMA), 25,300–25,500
- Prediction: The Nifty is likely to open lower due to weak global cues. A sustained move above 25,015 could trigger upside momentum, while a break below 24,900 may lead to further correction towards 24,770. Traders should adopt a cautious approach, with a buy-on-dips strategy for long-term investors, as valuations appear attractive.
Sensex
- Support: 81,664–81,983
- Resistance: 82,018–83,337
- Prediction: The Sensex is expected to remain range-bound, with bearish momentum dominating unless it closes above 82,569. A break below 81,664 could push it towards 81,000.
Bank Nifty
- Support: 55,500–56,000
- Resistance: 56,500–57,000
- Prediction: The index is in a consolidation phase, with a sideways range of 55,500–57,000. A breakout above 57,000 could signal a bullish trend, supported by private banking stocks like ICICI Bank. A fall below 55,500 may indicate further weakness.
Latest News Impacting the Market
- TCS Earnings Disappointment: Lackluster Q1 results from TCS led to a 3.47% drop, dragging the IT sector lower. This has raised concerns about IT stock performance amidst global demand slowdowns.
- RBI Policy Outlook: Optimism around potential easing of risk weights for NBFC financing has supported banking stocks, with HDFC Bank and AUBank showing resilience.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Rising crude oil prices due to disruptions in Iraq and uncertainties over U.S. tariffs are creating a cautious market environment.
- Zee Entertainment Fundraise: Zee Entertainment surged nearly 4% after announcing plans to raise ₹2,237.44 crore from promoter group entities, boosting investor confidence.
Top 10 Gainers and Losers (Based on Recent Market Data)
The following table highlights the top 10 gainers and losers in the Nifty 50 based on recent trading sessions, reflecting the market’s bearish tilt:
| Top 10 Gainers | % Change | Top 10 Losers | % Change |
| ONGC | +2.50% | TCS | -3.47% |
| Sun Pharma | +1.50% | M&M | -2.93% |
| Asian Paints | +1.20% | Tata Motors | -2.39% |
| Bajaj Finserv | +1.00% | Hero MotoCorp | -2.74% |
| Dr Reddy’s | +1.00% | Wipro | -2.62% |
| SBI Life | +1.37% | Bajaj Auto | -2.54% |
| ICICI General Ins. | +0.95% | IndusInd Bank | -7.10% |
| Axis Bank | +0.63% | PNB | -5.00% |
| HUL | +0.46% | Trent | -8.00% |
| SBI | +0.30% | ONGC (recent dip) | -2.00% |
Note: Data is indicative and based on recent market performance.
Top Stocks to Watch: Detailed Analysis
1. Reliance Industries
- Current Price: ₹2,950 (approx.)
- Performance: Down 1.46% recently, weighing heavily on the Sensex and Nifty.
- Analysis: As a market heavyweight, Reliance Industries is under pressure due to profit booking and concerns over global trade tensions. However, its diversified portfolio across energy, telecom, and retail provides resilience. The upcoming Q1 earnings will be critical. Support is at ₹2,900, with resistance at ₹3,050. Long-term investors can consider buying on dips, with a stop-loss at ₹2,850.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹3,000 | Target: ₹3,200 | Stop-loss: ₹2,850
2. HDFC Bank
- Current Price: ₹1,600 (approx.)
- Performance: Down 1.16%, but showed resilience with a 1.7% gain in a prior session.
- Analysis: HDFC Bank benefits from optimism around RBI’s NBFC financing norms. Its strong fundamentals and leadership in the private banking sector make it a top pick. Support is at ₹1,550, with resistance at ₹1,650. A breakout above ₹1,650 could target ₹1,700.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹1,620 | Target: ₹1,700 | Stop-loss: ₹1,550
3. ICICI Bank
- Current Price: ₹1,200 (approx.)
- Performance: Flat to marginally down (0.15%).
- Analysis: ICICI Bank is expected to support Bank Nifty’s uptrend if it breaks above 57,000. Its strong loan book and digital banking initiatives make it a stable pick. Support is at ₹1,150, with resistance at ₹1,250. Watch for Q1 earnings for directional cues.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹1,220 | Target: ₹1,300 | Stop-loss: ₹1,150
4. TCS
- Current Price: ₹4,000 (approx.)
- Performance: Down 3.47% after lackluster Q1 results.
- Analysis: The IT sector is under pressure due to weak global demand. TCS faces support at ₹3,900 and resistance at ₹4,200. Short-term traders should avoid fresh longs until a reversal signal appears, such as RSI moving above 50.
- Trading Strategy: Sell below ₹3,900 | Target: ₹3,750 | Stop-loss: ₹4,050
5. Sun Pharma
- Current Price: ₹1,600 (approx.)
- Performance: Up 1.50%, bucking the market trend.
- Analysis: Sun Pharma is a standout in the pharma sector, driven by strong domestic and export growth. Support is at ₹1,550, with resistance at ₹1,650. The stock is a safe bet amidst market volatility, with potential to rally towards ₹1,700.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹1,620 | Target: ₹1,700 | Stop-loss: ₹1,550
6. Trent
- Current Price: ₹5,000 (approx.)
- Performance: Down 8% after inline Q1 earnings.
- Analysis: Despite the recent correction, Trent remains a strong long-term pick due to its dominance in retail. Support is at ₹4,800, with resistance at ₹5,200. Investors can accumulate on dips for long-term gains.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹5,050 | Target: ₹5,300 | Stop-loss: ₹4,800
7. ONGC
- Current Price: ₹300 (approx.)
- Performance: Up 2.50% recently, but saw a 2% dip in a prior session.
- Analysis: Rising crude oil prices support ONGC, but volatility persists due to global supply concerns. Support is at ₹290, with resistance at ₹320. Traders should monitor crude price trends for cues.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹310 | Target: ₹330 | Stop-loss: ₹290
8. Zee Entertainment
- Current Price: ₹140 (approx.)
- Performance: Up nearly 4% after fundraising news.
- Analysis: The promoter group’s ₹2,237.44 crore infusion boosts confidence. Support is at ₹130, with resistance at ₹150. A breakout above ₹150 could target ₹160.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹145 | Target: ₹160 | Stop-loss: ₹130
9. Axis Bank
- Current Price: ₹1,200 (approx.)
- Performance: Up 0.63%, but down 3.3% in a recent session.
- Analysis: Axis Bank is a key banking stock to watch, with support at ₹1,150 and resistance at ₹1,250. Its Q1 earnings will influence Bank Nifty trends.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹1,220 | Target: ₹1,300 | Stop-loss: ₹1,150
10. Tata Motors
- Current Price: ₹1,000 (approx.)
- Performance: Down 2.39% due to auto sector weakness.
- Analysis: Tata Motors faces pressure from profit booking and global demand concerns. Support is at ₹950, with resistance at ₹1,050. Long-term investors can consider dips for entry.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹1,020 | Target: ₹1,100 | Stop-loss: ₹950
Trading Strategies for July 23, 2025
- Nifty 50:
- Intraday: Monitor 25,015 for a bullish breakout or 24,900 for a bearish move. Use strict stop-losses due to volatility.
- Long-Term: Buy on dips near 24,770 with a target of 25,500–26,000, supported by attractive valuations.
- Bank Nifty:
- Intraday: Trade within the 55,500–57,000 range. Sell on rise near 56,500 with a stop-loss at 57,000.
- Long-Term: Accumulate on dips near 55,500, targeting 58,000 if the index sustains above 57,000.
- Stock-Specific:
- Focus on resilient stocks like Sun Pharma, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank for long positions.
- Avoid IT stocks like TCS and Wipro until reversal signals emerge.
- Watch Zee Entertainment for momentum post-fundraise.
Final Thought
The Indian stock market on July 23, 2025, is expected to open on a cautious note, with Nifty 50 and Sensex facing downward pressure due to global cues and profit booking. Bank Nifty remains in a consolidation phase, with private banks offering potential upside. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels closely and focus on earnings-driven opportunities in stocks like Reliance, HDFC Bank, and Sun Pharma. The top gainers and losers table highlights sector-specific trends, with pharma and select banking stocks showing resilience. For long-term investors, dips in quality stocks present attractive entry points.
Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Consult a financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
