
The Indian stock market outlook for June 27, 2025! Explore Nifty 50, Sensex, and Bank Nifty predictions, key support and resistance levels, top gainers, losers, and stocks to watch. Elevate your trading strategy with expert insights
The Indian stock market has been a rollercoaster of opportunities and challenges in 2025, with the Sensex, Nifty 50, and Bank Nifty indices reflecting a mix of optimism and caution. As we approach Friday, June 27, 2025, investors and traders are keenly observing support and resistance levels, market predictions, and top gainers and losers to navigate the volatile landscape. This blog post provides an in-depth analysis of the Indian stock market, incorporating the latest data, trading strategies, and stocks to watch for informed decision-making.
Indian Stock Market Overview: Sensex, Nifty 50, and Bank Nifty
The Indian stock market has shown resilience despite global uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions and fluctuating crude oil prices. On June 26, 2025, the Sensex rallied 1,000 points to close at 83,055.11, while the Nifty 50 surged past 25,500, ending at 25,544.35, driven by strong buying in IT and consumption stocks. The Bank Nifty index, a key indicator for the banking sector, closed at 57,206, maintaining a positive trend but showing signs of caution after a post-RBI rate cut rally.
Recent market movements have been influenced by domestic factors like the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) 50-basis-point repo rate cut to 5.5% and a 100-basis-point CRR reduction, boosting liquidity and supporting rate-sensitive sectors like banking, realty, and auto. However, global cues, such as Middle East tensions and rising oil prices, continue to add volatility, making support and resistance levels critical for traders.
For June 27, 2025, the Nifty 50 is expected to open with a gap-up, supported by positive global cues and a cooling India VIX, indicating lower volatility. The Bank Nifty, however, may face resistance as it consolidates within the 55,000–57,000 range. Let’s dive into the technical analysis, predictions, and key stocks to watch for informed trading decisions.
Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels
Understanding support and resistance levels is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. These levels act as psychological barriers where the indices or stocks tend to pause, reverse, or break out.
Nifty 50 Support and Resistance
- Support Levels: 25,415 and 24,350
- Resistance Levels: 25,750 and 25,850
The Nifty 50 is currently in a positive trend, trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 24,874.67 and 200-day SMA of 23,870.43. A gap-up opening above 25,600 could push the index toward 25,750, signaling bullish momentum. However, a failure to sustain above 25,415 may lead to profit booking, with support at 24,350 acting as a strong demand zone.
Bank Nifty Support and Resistance
- Support Levels: 56,875 and 56,750
- Resistance Levels: 57,815 and 58,250
The Bank Nifty index has shown resilience but closed below its near-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the past three days, indicating caution among investors. A breakout above 57,815 could trigger fresh buying, while a drop below 56,875 may lead to further consolidation toward 56,750.
Sensex Support and Resistance
- Support Levels: 82,450 and 81,500
- Resistance Levels: 83,756 and 84,500
The Sensex is in a positive trend, with a daily closing stop-loss at 82,450. A close below this level could signal a bearish shift, while sustaining above 83,756 may push the index toward 84,500.
Indian Stock Market Prediction for June 27, 2025
Nifty 50 Prediction
The Nifty 50 is poised for a bullish session on June 27, 2025, driven by strong global cues and easing Middle East tensions. The index’s recent breakout above 25,500 on expiry day reflects robust investor confidence. Analysts expect the Nifty 50 to test 25,750–25,850 if it sustains above 25,600 post-opening. However, traders should remain cautious of profit booking near resistance levels, especially given the index’s consolidation range of 24,500–25,500.
Key Factors to Watch:
- Global Cues: Positive US futures and a cooling India VIX suggest bullish sentiment.
- Sectoral Performance: IT, auto, and pharma sectors are expected to lead gains, while banking may remain rangebound.
- Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a hidden bullish divergence, indicating potential for an uptrend continuation.
Bank Nifty Prediction
The Bank Nifty index is likely to trade cautiously, with resistance at 57,815 acting as a key hurdle. The index’s recent weakness, closing below its EMA, suggests profit booking in banking stocks. However, the RBI’s liquidity-boosting measures continue to support rate-sensitive sectors, potentially driving selective buying in PSU banks like State Bank of India and Bank of Baroda.
Key Factors to Watch:
- Banking Sector Sentiment: Weakness in heavyweights like HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank may cap upside.
- Technical Indicators: The Stochastic (20,3) at 35.09 and CCI (20) at -26.48 indicate a neutral to bearish bias in the short term.
- Support Levels: A drop below 56,875 could lead to further selling pressure toward 56,750.
Sensex Prediction
The Sensex is expected to maintain its positive trend, with potential to test 84,500 if it sustains above 83,756. The index’s rally on June 26, driven by IT and consumption stocks, underscores strong domestic demand. However, global uncertainties, including rising crude oil prices, could induce volatility.
Top 10 Gainers and Losers: Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty (June 26, 2025)
The performance of individual stocks significantly impacts index movements. Below is a table of the top 10 gainers and top 10 losers based on the latest available data from June 26, 2025, focusing on the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty constituents.
Top 10 Gainers | Percentage Gain | Top 10 Losers | Percentage Loss |
Titan Company | +2.50% | ONGC | -1.79% |
Infosys | +2.30% | Sun Pharma | -1.13% |
JSW Steel | +2.10% | Ultratech Cement | -1.08% |
M&M | +1.80% | IndusInd Bank | -0.96% |
Grasim Industries | +1.60% | Tata Motors | -0.95% |
Shriram Finance | +1.50% | Bharat Electronics | -0.90% |
Bajaj Finance | +1.40% | Kotak Mahindra Bank | -0.85% |
Axis Bank | +1.30% | Eicher Motors | -0.80% |
Maruti Suzuki | +1.20% | Trent | -0.75% |
Adani Ports | +0.86% | Reliance Industries | -0.70% |
Key Observations:
- Gainers: IT and auto sectors led the gains, with Titan Company, Infosys, and JSW Steel benefiting from strong sectoral tailwinds and positive global cues.
- Losers: Oil & gas and banking stocks like ONGC, Sun Pharma, and IndusInd Bank faced selling pressure due to sector-specific challenges and profit booking.
Stocks to Watch on June 27, 2025
Based on recent performance, technical indicators, and market news, here are the stocks to watch for June 27, 2025, across the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty:
- Infosys (INFY): Up 2.30% on June 26, Infosys is benefiting from strong IT sector momentum and positive global cues. Watch for a breakout above ₹1,900, with support at ₹1,850.
- Titan Company (TITAN): A top gainer with a 2.50% rise, Titan is riding the consumer durables wave. Resistance at ₹3,500 and support at ₹3,400 are key levels.
- State Bank of India (SBIN): Up 1.41% and closing above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, SBIN is a strong pick in the banking sector. Watch for resistance at ₹820.
- HDFC Bank (HDFCBANK): Despite a marginal 0.3% decline, HDFC Bank remains a key stock to watch due to its weight in the Bank Nifty. Support at ₹1,950 and resistance at ₹2,000 are critical.
- JSW Steel (JSWSTEEL): Up 2.10%, JSW Steel is gaining from a rally in the metal sector. Resistance at ₹1,000 and support at ₹950 are key levels.
- Maruti Suzuki (MARUTI): With a 1.20% gain, Maruti is benefiting from auto sector strength. Watch for a breakout above ₹12,800.
- Adani Ports (ADANIPORTS): Up 0.86%, this stock is supported by positive global trade developments. Resistance at ₹1,500 and support at ₹1,450 are key.
- ICICI Bank (ICICIBANK): Up 1.12% and closing above its 50-day moving average, ICICI Bank is a strong banking pick. Resistance at ₹1,450 is critical.
- ONGC (ONGC): A top loser with a 1.79% decline, ONGC faces pressure from rising crude oil prices. Support at ₹300 and resistance at ₹320 are key levels.
- Sun Pharma (SUNPHARMA): Down 1.13%, Sun Pharma is under pressure in the pharma sector. Watch for support at ₹1,400 and potential recovery above ₹1,450.
Trading Strategies for June 27, 2025
- Nifty 50: Buy on dips near 25,415 with a stop-loss at 25,350 and a target of 25,750. For bearish trades, short below 25,415 with a stop-loss at 25,500 and a target of 24,350.
- Bank Nifty: Buy above 57,206 with a stop-loss at 56,875 and a target of 57,815. Short below 56,875 with a stop-loss at 57,206 and a target of 56,750.
- Stock-Specific: Focus on Infosys and Titan for long trades on pullbacks to their support levels, and ONGC for short trades near resistance due to its bearish momentum.
2. Swing Trading
- Nifty 50: Hold long positions with a stop-loss at 25,147, targeting 25,850 over the next few sessions.
- Bank Nifty: Initiate long positions above 57,815 with a stop-loss at 56,875, targeting 58,250. Avoid fresh shorts unless the index closes below 56,328.
- Stock Picks: State Bank of India and JSW Steel are ideal for swing trades due to their strong technical setups and sectoral tailwinds.
3. Options Trading
- Nifty 50: Buy a 25,600 Call option if the index sustains above 25,500, with a stop-loss at 25,415. For bearish bets, consider a 25,400 Put option if the index breaks below 25,415.
- Bank Nifty: Buy a 57,500 Call option above 57,206, with a stop-loss at 56,875. Short a 56,500 Put option if the index drops below 56,875.
Sectoral Outlook for June 27, 2025
- IT Sector: The IT sector, led by Infosys and TCS, is expected to remain strong due to robust earnings and global demand. The Nifty IT index rose 1.7% on June 26, making it a key sector to watch.
- Auto Sector: Stocks like Maruti Suzuki and M&M are gaining from strong domestic demand, despite challenges from rare earth export curbs.
- Banking Sector: The Bank Nifty remains rangebound, with PSU banks like SBI and Bank of Baroda outperforming private banks like HDFC Bank.
- Pharma Sector: Mixed performance, with Sun Pharma under pressure but Dr Reddy’s showing resilience.
- Metal Sector: JSW Steel and other metal stocks are benefiting from global commodity price trends and domestic demand.
Risks and Challenges
- Global Uncertainties: Rising crude oil prices due to Middle East tensions could pressure oil & gas stocks like ONGC.
- FII Selling: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹5,266 crore on June 24, potentially capping upside.
- Valuation Concerns: Stretched valuations in midcap and smallcap segments may lead to profit booking.
Final Thought
The Indian stock market on June 27, 2025, presents a cautiously optimistic outlook, with the Nifty 50 and Sensex likely to test higher resistance levels, while the Bank Nifty may face consolidation. Traders should focus on support and resistance levels, leverage technical indicators, and monitor top gainers and losers like Infosys, Titan, ONGC, and Sun Pharma. Stocks to watch, including SBI, JSW Steel, and Maruti Suzuki, offer opportunities for both intraday and swing trades. By adopting a disciplined approach with a “buy on dips” strategy and staying updated on global and domestic cues, investors can navigate the market effectively.
Disclaimer: Investing in the stock market involves risks. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The predictions and strategies provided are based on historical data and technical analysis and are not guaranteed.