The Indian stock market on September 1, 2025? As Sensex and Nifty50 teeter near critical support levels, suspense grips Dalal Street. ITC shines, but Reliance and HDFC Bank falter—can they rebound? With GST reforms and global cues fueling volatility, our analysis unveils top gainers, losers, and stocks to watch. Dive into expert predictions, technical levels, and shareable insights to seize opportunities.
As the sun rises on September 1, 2025, the Indian stock market stands at a crossroads, buzzing with anticipation and uncertainty. Will the Nifty50 reclaim its highs, or will bearish shadows loom over Dalal Street? With global cues, domestic reforms, and technical indicators shaping the narrative, this blog dives into the heart of the Indian stock market, offering a gripping, data-driven analysis of what to expect on Monday. Packed with the latest 2025 insights, top gainers and losers, and stocks to watch, this post is your guide to navigating the thrilling world of Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty trading. Buckle up for a rollercoaster ride through support, resistance, and market predictions that could redefine your investment strategy!
The Pulse of the Indian Stock Market: A Volatile Prelude
The Indian stock market has been a theatre of drama in recent weeks, with the Sensex and Nifty50 grappling with global headwinds and domestic optimism. On August 29, 2025, the Sensex closed at 79,809.65, down 270.92 points (-0.34%), while the Nifty50 settled at 24,426.85, shedding 74 points (-0.35%). The Bank Nifty, a bellwether for financial stocks, slipped 164.7 points to 53,655.65 (-0.31%). These declines, driven by heavyweights like HDFC Bank (-0.65%), Reliance (-2.07%), and Infosys (-2.03%), signal caution. Yet, whispers of GST reforms and a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve hint at a potential rebound. What does Monday hold? Let’s decode the market’s pulse with technical analysis, sectoral trends, and the latest news.
Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
Technical indicators are the compass for traders navigating the stormy seas of the Indian stock market. For the Nifty50, near-term support lies at 24,234–24,115, with a critical floor at the 200-day EMA (24,267). A breach below this could drag the index toward 24,165 or even 24,000, signaling deeper corrections. Resistance is pegged at 24,619–24,739, with a breakout above 24,700 potentially sparking a rally toward 24,850. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 40 reflects weak momentum, teetering on the edge of oversold territory, hinting at a possible short-term bounce.
For the Sensex, support is at 79,223–78,860, with resistance at 80,396–80,759. The index’s gravestone doji on August 29 suggests a reversal possibility, but confirmation is pending. Bank Nifty, trading below key moving averages, faces resistance at 54,500–54,700 and support at 53,450–53,570. A break below 53,500 could push it toward 52,900. Traders should watch these levels closely, as they will dictate Monday’s momentum.
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Market Movers: Top 10 Gainers and Losers
The market’s story is incomplete without its heroes and villains. Below is a snapshot of the top 10 gainers and losers from the Nifty50 on August 29, 2025, based on the latest data:
| Rank | Top Gainers | % Change | Top Losers | % Change |
| 1 | ITC | +2.21% | Mahindra & Mahindra | -2.91% |
| 2 | Asian Paints | +1.19% | Infosys | -2.03% |
| 3 | Larsen & Toubro | +1.15% | Reliance Industries | -2.07% |
| 4 | Shriram Finance | +1.50% | Tata Motors | -0.95% |
| 5 | Kotak Mahindra Bank | +0.80% | ICICI Prudential Life | -1.59% |
| 6 | Bharat Electronics | +0.75% | SBI Life Insurance | -0.62% |
| 7 | Hindustan Unilever | +0.46% | HDFC Bank | -0.65% |
| 8 | Sun Pharmaceutical | +0.71% | ICICI Bank | -0.10% |
| 9 | Axis Bank | +0.63% | Tata Steel | -0.85% |
| 10 | Maruti Suzuki | +0.50% | Dr. Reddy’s Labs | -0.90% |
The FMCG and consumer durables sectors shone, with ITC and Asian Paints defying the bearish tide. Meanwhile, IT and auto stocks like Infosys and Mahindra & Mahindra dragged the indices lower, reflecting sector-specific pressures.
Top Stocks to Watch: Detailed Analysis
1. ITC (+2.21%)
ITC’s resilience amid a volatile market makes it a stock to watch. Buoyed by expectations of GST rationalization, which could boost consumption, ITC’s strong fundamentals and diversified portfolio (FMCG, tobacco, hotels) position it for growth. Technicals show support at ₹480 and resistance at ₹510. A breakout above ₹510 could target ₹525, making it a buy-on-dip candidate.
2. Reliance Industries (-2.07%)
Reliance, a heavyweight in the Nifty50, faced selling pressure due to FII outflows and tariff concerns. However, its diversified business—telecom, retail, and energy—offers long-term stability. Support lies at ₹2,900, with resistance at ₹3,050. A recovery above ₹3,000 could signal a bullish reversal, especially if global cues improve.
3. HDFC Bank (-0.65%)
As a major component of Bank Nifty, HDFC Bank’s performance is critical. Despite recent weakness, optimism around RBI’s easing of NBFC risk weights could lift banking stocks. Support is at ₹1,600, with resistance at ₹1,700. Traders should monitor for a breakout above ₹1,650 for bullish momentum.
4. Infosys (-2.03%)
The IT sector’s underperformance, led by Infosys, stems from lackluster earnings and global tariff fears. However, a dovish U.S. Fed could revive IT stocks. Support is at ₹1,800, with resistance at ₹1,900. A bounce from oversold levels (RSI 30) could make Infosys a short-term pick.
5. Shriram Finance (+1.50%)
Shriram Finance’s gains highlight strength in the financial services sector. With support at ₹2,800 and resistance at ₹3,000, it’s a stock to watch for momentum traders. Positive domestic cues, like GST reforms, could drive further upside.
Sectoral Trends: Where’s the Action?
- FMCG and Consumer Durables: Stocks like ITC and Asian Paints outperformed, fueled by GST reform hopes. A potential reduction in GST rates from 28% to 18% on autos and consumer goods could spark a rally.
- Banking and Financials: Bank Nifty’s bearish gravestone doji signals caution, but PSU banks like PNB and private players like Kotak Bank show resilience. RBI’s policy easing could be a catalyst.
- IT Sector: Infosys and TCS dragged the Nifty IT index lower, but oversold RSI levels suggest a potential rebound if global sentiment improves.
- Auto Sector: Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Motors faced profit booking, but GST cut speculations could revive interest.
Macro Triggers: What’s Driving the Market?
Global Cues
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s dovish signals, hinting at a September rate cut, have boosted global markets, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hitting all-time highs. However, U.S. tariff threats and FII outflows (₹2,466 crore sold on August 25) remain overhangs. The upcoming U.S. core PCE inflation data will be pivotal.
Domestic Factors
India’s GDP growth for Q1 FY26 hit a five-quarter high of 7.8%, surpassing forecasts. Proposed GST reforms, a robust monsoon, and RBI’s potential rate cuts fuel optimism. However, a depreciating INR (87.58/USD) and FII selling pressure temper gains.
Nifty50 and Bank Nifty Predictions for Monday
The Nifty50 is poised for a volatile session on September 1, 2025. A bullish opening is possible if global markets remain upbeat, with GIFT Nifty signaling a 120-point gain. Support at 24,234–24,115 must hold to avoid a slide toward 24,000. A breakout above 24,619 could target 24,739–24,850. Trading Strategy: Buy on dips near 24,300 with a stop-loss at 24,115; sell below 24,115 for a target of 24,000.
Bank Nifty’s bearish trend suggests caution, with support at 53,450–53,570 critical. A break below could trigger a fall to 52,900. Resistance at 54,500–54,700 needs to be breached for bullish momentum. Trading Strategy: Avoid aggressive longs unless 54,500 is cleared; short below 53,450 with a target of 52,900.
Shareable Hooks and Emotional Resonance
Imagine missing the next big rally because you hesitated! The Indian stock market is a land of opportunity, where fortunes are made by those who dare to act. ITC’s defiance, Reliance’s resilience, and HDFC Bank’s potential—are you ready to seize these moments? Share this post with fellow investors and join the conversation on X to uncover hidden gems in the market!
Stunning Suggestions for Investors
- Diversify with ETFs: Consider Nifty50 or Bank Nifty ETFs to hedge against volatility.
- Focus on FMCG: Stocks like ITC and Hindustan Unilever offer stability amid uncertainty.
- Monitor Global Cues: U.S. inflation data and tariff news could sway Monday’s session.
- Use Technicals: Set alerts for key support/resistance levels to time your trades.
- Consult Experts: A financial planner can tailor strategies to your risk appetite.
Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Consult a financial advisor before trading.
