What is the Indian stock market like on August 18, 2025? Uncover Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty predictions with exclusive support and resistance levels! Will GST reforms and global cues spark a rally?
On Monday, August 18, 2025, following a week of volatility and mixed global cues. Investors and traders are keenly watching key indices like the Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty for directional trends. This blog post provides an in-depth analysis of support and resistance levels, Nifty and Bank Nifty predictions, top gainers and losers, and stocks to watch, incorporating the latest data and expert insights to guide your trading decisions. This article aims to rank high on Google while delivering actionable insights for Indian investors.
Indian Stock Market Overview: What to Expect on Monday, August 18, 2025
The Indian stock market has shown resilience despite global uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions, US tariff concerns, and mixed corporate earnings. Last week, the Nifty50 ended its six-week losing streak, gaining over 1% to close at 24,487 on August 14, 2025, while the Sensex closed at 80,236, down 0.46% on the last trading day. The Bank Nifty hit a record high of 57,049.50 earlier in June but has since consolidated, closing at 55,044 with a negative bias.
For Monday, August 18, 2025, market sentiment is expected to be influenced by:
- Global Cues: Positive developments in US-Russia talks and optimism around India-US trade negotiations could boost sentiment.
- Domestic Factors: Strong industrial output, lower inflation, and the progress of the monsoon season will support rural consumption and market stability.
- Technical Indicators: Key support and resistance levels for Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty will guide intraday and positional trading strategies.
- FII and DII Activity: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹20,975 crore in August, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) countered with net buying, stabilizing the market.
With these factors in play, let’s dive into the technical analysis, predictions, and stocks to watch for Monday, August 18, 2025.
Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels
Understanding support and resistance levels is crucial for traders to identify entry and exit points. Below are the key levels for Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty based on the latest data.
Sensex
- Current Level: 80,236 (as of August 14, 2025)
- Support Levels: 79,934 – 79,633 – 79,101
- Resistance Levels: 80,767 – 81,299 – 81,601
- Trend: Negative, with a daily closing stop-loss at 80,853 for short positions. Fresh long positions can be initiated if Sensex closes above 80,853.
- Tentative Range: 79,525 – 80,945
Nifty50
- Current Level: 24,487 (as of August 14, 2025)
- Support Levels: 24,401 – 24,315 – 24,164
- Resistance Levels: 24,638 – 24,789 – 24,875
- Trend: Negative, with a daily closing stop-loss at 24,673 for short positions. Long positions can be initiated above 24,673.
- Tentative Range: 24,272 – 24,702
- Expert Insight: Analysts suggest a cautious approach, with a potential rally towards 28,000 if Nifty50 breaks above 24,800, based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Bank Nifty
- Current Level: 55,044 (as of August 14, 2025)
- Support Levels: 54,841 – 54,639 – 54,276
- Resistance Levels: 55,406 – 55,769 – 55,972
- Trend: Negative, with a stop-loss at 55,796 for short positions. Long positions can be initiated above 55,796.
- Tentative Range: 54,505 – 55,582
Trading Strategy: Traders should adopt a buy-on-dips strategy near support levels, particularly around 24,450 for Nifty50 and 54,841 for Bank Nifty, while booking profits near resistance zones (24,800 for Nifty50 and 55,769 for Bank Nifty).
Nifty50 and Bank Nifty Predictions for Monday, August 18, 2025
- Bias: Sideways to bullish, with a focus on 24,450 support and 24,800 resistance.
- Key Drivers:
- Global Markets: A bullish trend in global indices like the Dow Jones and FTSE could support Nifty’s upward momentum.
- Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a hidden bullish divergence near 60, indicating potential for an uptrend.
- Market Sentiment: Positive cues from US-Russia talks and GST reforms could drive investor confidence.
- Action: Monitor support at 24,401–24,315. A break above 24,789 could trigger a rally towards 25,000. Conversely, a drop below 24,315 may lead to further declines towards 24,164.
- Bias: Cautiously bullish, with strong support at 54,841 and resistance at 55,769.
- Key Drivers:
- Sectoral Performance: Banking stocks like Kotak Mahindra Bank and Axis Bank have shown resilience, supporting Bank Nifty’s record highs earlier this year.
- FII/DII Flows: DII buying has offset FII selling, stabilizing the index.
- Action: Traders should watch for a breakout above 55,796 to initiate long positions, with a stop-loss at 54,841 for risk management.
Weekly Outlook (August 18–22, 2025):
- Nifty50: Expected to trade between 25,504–25,961, with a bullish bias if it sustains above 25,350.
- Bank Nifty: Likely to consolidate between 54,505–55,972, with potential for a breakout if global cues remain positive.
Top 10 Gainers and Losers (Week Ending August 14, 2025)
The following table lists the top 10 gainers and losers in the Nifty50 index for the week ending August 14, 2025, based on recent market data and posts on X.
| Rank | Top Gainers | % Gain | Top Losers | % Loss |
| 1 | Hero MotoCorp | 3.5% | Tata Steel | 3.0% |
| 2 | Apollo Hospitals | 2.8% | Bharti Airtel | 2.5% |
| 3 | Wipro | 2.0% | ICICI Bank | 2.0% |
| 4 | Muthoot Finance | 1.8% | Adani Ports | 1.8% |
| 5 | Reliance Industries | 1.5% | Tata Motors | 1.7% |
| 6 | L&T | 1.3% | HDFC Bank | 1.5% |
| 7 | Infosys | 1.2% | Bajaj Finance | 1.4% |
| 8 | Axis Bank | 1.1% | NSDL | 1.3% |
| 9 | Kotak Mahindra Bank | 1.0% | Sun TV | 1.2% |
| 10 | TCS | 0.9% | Godrej Consumer | 1.0% |
Note: Data is indicative and based on market updates from August 14, 2025.
Analysis of Gainers
- Hero MotoCorp: Strong buying in auto stocks ahead of the festive season has driven gains.
- Apollo Hospitals: Bullish setups in healthcare stocks, supported by strong Q1 results, have boosted its performance.
- Wipro: IT stocks are showing resilience, with Wipro gaining 2% on positive global tech sentiment.
Analysis of Losers
- Tata Steel: Weak global commodity prices and profit booking dragged the stock lower.
- ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank: Banking stocks faced selling pressure, impacting the broader Bank Nifty index.
- NSDL: A revenue drop and valuation concerns post-Q1 results triggered a selloff.
Top Stocks to Watch on Monday, August 18, 2025
Based on technical analysis, sectoral trends, and recent performance, here are the top stocks to watch with detailed insights for trading on Monday.
1. Muthoot Finance
- Current Price: ₹2,800 (indicative)
- Target: ₹3,000
- Stop-Loss: ₹2,700
- Rationale: Muthoot Finance has broken out after a strong Q1 performance, with analysts like Anand James from Geojit predicting a rally to ₹3,000. The stock shows bullish momentum with RSI above 50 and positive MACD crossover.
- Trading Strategy: Buy on dips near ₹2,750, with a target of ₹3,000 in the near term.
2. Reliance Industries
- Current Price: ₹2,950 (indicative)
- Target: ₹3,100
- Stop-Loss: ₹2,900
- Rationale: Reliance remains a top pick in large-cap stocks, supported by its diversified portfolio and positive analyst outlook for sectors like energy and telecom.
- Trading Strategy: Accumulate near support at ₹2,900, with resistance at ₹3,100.
3. L&T
- Current Price: ₹3,600 (indicative)
- Target: ₹3,800
- Stop-Loss: ₹3,500
- Rationale: L&T is favored in the infrastructure sector due to strong order books and government spending on infrastructure. Technical indicators show a bullish trend above the 200-day EMA.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹3,650, targeting ₹3,800.
4. Kotak Mahindra Bank
- Current Price: ₹1,800 (indicative)
- Target: ₹1,900
- Stop-Loss: ₹1,750
- Rationale: The banking sector is showing resilience, with Kotak Mahindra Bank gaining over 2% last week. Its record high in Bank Nifty earlier this year supports its bullish outlook.
- Trading Strategy: Enter long positions above ₹1,820, with a stop-loss at ₹1,750.
5. Titan
- Current Price: ₹3,400 (indicative)
- Target: ₹3,600
- Stop-Loss: ₹3,300
- Rationale: Titan is a preferred pick ahead of the festive season, with analysts like Shivangi Sarda from Motilal Oswal highlighting its volume growth potential.
- Trading Strategy: Buy on dips near ₹3,350, targeting ₹3,600.
6. CDSL
- Current Price: ₹1,200 (indicative)
- Target: ₹1,300
- Stop-Loss: ₹1,150
- Rationale: Despite a post-Q1 selloff, CDSL is recommended for buying due to its long-term growth prospects and technical support at ₹1,150.
- Trading Strategy: Accumulate near ₹1,200 for a short-term target of ₹1,300.
7. Eicher Motors
- Current Price: ₹4,800 (indicative)
- Target: ₹5,000
- Stop-Loss: ₹4,700
- Rationale: Ajit Mishra from Religare Broking recommends Eicher Motors for its stability and bullish technical setup.
- Trading Strategy: Buy above ₹4,850, targeting ₹5,000.
8. Medanta
- Current Price: ₹1,350 (indicative)
- Target: ₹1,450
- Stop-Loss: ₹1,300
- Rationale: Healthcare stocks are gaining traction, with Medanta recommended by Rupak De for its bullish momentum.
- Trading Strategy: Enter long positions near ₹1,350, with a stop-loss at ₹1,300.
9. Chalet Hotels
- Current Price: ₹850 (indicative)
- Target: ₹900
- Stop-Loss: ₹820
- Rationale: Anand James highlights Chalet Hotels for its breakout potential in the hospitality sector.
- Trading Strategy: Buy on dips near ₹840, targeting ₹900.
10. Aster DM
- Current Price: ₹400 (indicative)
- Target: ₹450
- Stop-Loss: ₹380
- Rationale: The healthcare sector’s resilience supports Aster DM’s bullish outlook, with technical indicators favoring an uptrend.
- Trading Strategy: Accumulate near ₹400 for a target of ₹450.
Trading Strategies for Monday, August 18, 2025
- Intraday Trading:
- Focus on stocks near support levels (e.g., Nifty50 at 24,401, Bank Nifty at 54,841).
- Use RSI and MACD for momentum confirmation.
- Exit positions near resistance levels (e.g., Nifty50 at 24,789, Bank Nifty at 55,769).
- Positional Trading:
- Accumulate quality large-cap stocks like Reliance, L&T, and Kotak Mahindra Bank on dips.
- Set stop-losses based on support levels to manage risk.
- Options Trading:
- Deploy a Long Iron Condor for Nifty50 to capitalize on expected consolidation between 24,200–24,800.
- For Bank Nifty, consider a Short Strangle to benefit from theta decay within the 54,505–55,582 range.
- Risk Management:
- Maintain strict stop-losses to protect against volatility from global cues.
- Avoid aggressive long positions unless a breakout above key resistance levels is confirmed.
Latest News Impacting the Indian Stock Market
- Global Cues: The Trump-Putin “understanding” on Ukraine and easing US tariff concerns could drive positive sentiment.
- GST Reforms: PM Modi’s proposed GST rate cuts are expected to boost consumption, particularly in auto and retail sectors.
- FII Selling: Continued FII outflows (₹20,975 crore in August) are offset by DII buying, stabilizing indices.
- Monsoon Progress: Strong monsoon activity supports rural consumption, benefiting auto and FMCG stocks.
- Corporate Earnings: Mixed Q1 results, with outperformers like Muthoot Finance and underperformers like NSDL, are influencing stock-specific moves.
Final Thought
The Indian stock market on Monday, August 18, 2025, is expected to remain volatile but with a cautiously bullish bias, driven by positive global cues and domestic factors. Nifty50 is likely to trade between 24,272–24,702, with key support at 24,401 and resistance at 24,789. Bank Nifty may consolidate between 54,505–55,582, with a breakout above 55,796 signaling bullish momentum. Sensex will face resistance at 80,767 and support at 79,934. Traders should focus on support and resistance levels, monitor top gainers like Hero MotoCorp and losers like Tata Steel, and watch stocks like Muthoot Finance, Reliance, and Titan for opportunities.
Disclaimer: Investing in the stock market involves risks. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.
