Indian Stock Market Trends: Sensex & Nifty Close 2025 on a Flat Note
The Indian stock market on Monday, 11-08-2025? With Nifty50 and Bank Nifty teetering on critical support levels, FIIs betting heavily short, and global cues shaking investor confidence, the stakes are high. Discover top gainers like Coal India, losers like Axis Bank, and stocks to watch for explosive moves.
The Indian stock market, comprising key indices like Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty, remains a dynamic space for traders and investors. As we approach Monday, August 11, 2025, understanding trading strategies, support and resistance levels, and market predictions is crucial for navigating the volatile landscape. This blog provides a detailed Indian stock market analysis with the latest data, including top 10 gainers and losers, stocks to watch, and Nifty50 and Bank Nifty predictions to optimize your trading decisions.
Indian Stock Market Outlook for Monday, 11-08-2025
The Indian stock market has been under pressure, with Nifty50 and Sensex down 10% from their yearly highs, as per recent posts on X. The Bank Nifty index, heavily influenced by banking heavyweights like HDFC Bank and Axis Bank, closed 550 points lower recently, signaling weakness. FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) have adopted a record short position (9/91 long/short ratio), though the quantity remains moderate. The Nifty50 is trading below its 50-day SMA and 63-day EMA, forming lower highs and lows over the past five weeks, indicating a bearish trend.
However, a small positive divergence on the hourly chart and a PCR (Put-Call Ratio) below 0.60 suggest a potential short-covering rally. Global cues, such as a sharp 750-point drop in the Dow Jones due to weak US economic data, may dampen sentiment. Additionally, India’s Q3FY25 GDP data, expected on February 28, 2025, could influence market direction, with projections indicating a slowdown.
Key Factors Influencing the Market
- Global Markets: Weak US economic data and deflationary pressures in China (PPI down 3.6% in July 2025) may create cautious sentiment.
- FII Activity: Record short positions by FIIs indicate bearish sentiment, but low quantities limit the impact.
- Technical Indicators: Nifty50 trading below key moving averages and Bank Nifty showing weakness signal caution.
- India VIX: At 16.56, it reflects uncertainty, urging traders to adopt risk management strategies.
Support and Resistance Levels for Nifty50 and Bank Nifty
Nifty50
- Support: 22,500–22,800 (key support zone based on recent lows and Fibonacci retracement levels).
- Resistance: 23,200–23,500 (50-day SMA and recent highs acting as resistance).
- Trend: Bearish, with lower highs and lows. A break above 23,500 could signal a reversal.
Bank Nifty
- Support: 48,000–48,500 (strong support near recent lows).
- Resistance: 49,500–50,000 (aligned with 50-day EMA and psychological levels).
- Trend: Weak, driven by underperformance in banking stocks like Axis Bank (down 5.3%) and HDFC Bank (down 1.5%).
Traders should monitor these support and resistance levels closely, as a breach could trigger significant price movements. Use technical analysis tools like RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands for confirmation.
Top 10 Gainers and Losers (Based on Recent Data)
The following table highlights the top 10 gainers and losers from recent post-market earnings updates, reflecting stock performance trends.
| Gainers | Performance | Losers | Performance |
| Coal India | Above Estimates | IndusInd Bank | Below Estimates |
| Eicher Motors | Above Estimates | Axis Bank | Down 5.3% |
| Chambal Fertilisers | Strong | HDFC Bank | Down 1.5% |
| JSW Energy | Good | Kotak Mahindra Bank | Down 1.4% |
| Indegene | Good | Nifty PSU Bank | Down 19% |
| Paushak | Good | Nifty Oil & Gas | Down 20% |
| Sundram Fasteners | Good | Nifty Realty | Down 19% |
| Pricol | Good | Nifty Auto | Down 18% |
| UFO Moviez | Good | Nifty FMCG | Down 15% |
| Torrent Pharma | Good | Nifty Metal | Down 14% |
Note: Performance data is derived from recent X posts and may not reflect real-time prices on August 11, 2025.
Top Stocks to Watch on Monday, 11-08-2025
1. Coal India
- Sector: Mining
- Why Watch: Reported above-estimate earnings, signaling strong operational performance. Trading near its 52-week high, it could test resistance at ₹550–₹570.
- Technical Outlook: RSI at 65 indicates momentum but nearing overbought territory. Support at ₹500.
- Strategy: Buy on dips near support with a stop-loss below ₹490.
2. Eicher Motors
- Sector: Auto
- Why Watch: Strong earnings beat estimates, driven by robust demand for Royal Enfield. Despite Nifty Auto’s 15% fall from highs, Eicher remains resilient.
- Technical Outlook: Trading above 200-day EMA, with resistance at ₹5,000. Support at ₹4,600.
- Strategy: Accumulate on pullbacks, target ₹5,200.
3. IndusInd Bank
- Sector: Banking
- Why Watch: Underperformed earnings expectations, contributing to Bank Nifty weakness. High FII short interest adds pressure.
- Technical Outlook: Below 50-day SMA, with support at ₹1,300 and resistance at ₹1,450.
- Strategy: Avoid fresh longs until a reversal above ₹1,450 is confirmed.
4. HDFC Bank
- Sector: Banking
- Why Watch: A key Bank Nifty component, down 1.5% recently, impacting the index. Likely to influence market sentiment.
- Technical Outlook: Support at ₹1,550, resistance at ₹1,650. RSI at 45 suggests neutral momentum.
- Strategy: Monitor for a breakout above ₹1,650 for bullish trades.
5. Chambal Fertilisers
- Sector: Fertilisers
- Why Watch: Strong earnings performance indicates robust fundamentals. Benefiting from stable input costs.
- Technical Outlook: Resistance at ₹450, support at ₹400. MACD shows bullish crossover.
- Strategy: Buy above ₹450, target ₹480 with a stop-loss at ₹390.
6. JSW Energy
- Sector: Energy
- Why Watch: Good earnings and positive sector outlook despite Nifty Energy’s 23% drop from highs.
- Technical Outlook: Trading near ₹650, with support at ₹600 and resistance at ₹700.
- Strategy: Accumulate on dips, target ₹720.
7. Torrent Pharma
- Sector: Pharmaceuticals
- Why Watch: Solid earnings and a defensive sector make it a safe bet amid volatility. Nifty Pharma down only 9% from highs, showing resilience.
- Technical Outlook: Support at ₹2,800, resistance at ₹3,100. RSI at 60 indicates strength.
- Strategy: Buy on pullbacks, target ₹3,200.
8. Axis Bank
- Sector: Banking
- Why Watch: Significant 5.3% drop, dragging Bank Nifty lower. High FII short positions add risk.
- Technical Outlook: Support at ₹1,100, resistance at ₹1,200. Oversold RSI at 35.
- Strategy: Wait for a reversal signal before entering.
9. Sundram Fasteners
- Sector: Auto Ancillary
- Why Watch: Good earnings performance despite Nifty Auto weakness. Strong domestic demand supports growth.
- Technical Outlook: Resistance at ₹1,400, support at ₹1,250. Bullish MACD.
- Strategy: Buy above ₹1,400, target ₹1,500.
10. NACL Industries
- Sector: Agrochemicals
- Why Watch: Strong earnings and positive sector tailwinds. Less impacted by market volatility.
- Technical Outlook: Support at ₹80, resistance at ₹90. RSI at 62.
- Strategy: Accumulate on dips, target ₹95.
Nifty50 and Bank Nifty Predictions for Monday, 11-08-2025
- Expected Range: 22,600–23,400.
- Bias: Cautiously bearish due to global cues and FII selling. A short-covering rally is possible if Nifty50 holds above 22,800.
- Key Levels to Watch: A break below 22,500 could lead to further declines toward 22,000. A move above 23,200 may trigger a rally to 23,500.
- Trading Strategy: Scalp on intraday dips with tight stop-losses. Avoid large positional trades until a clear trend emerges.
- Expected Range: 48,200–49,800.
- Bias: Bearish, driven by weakness in key constituents like Axis Bank and HDFC Bank. Monitor for a reversal above 49,500.
- Key Levels to Watch: Support at 48,000 is critical. Resistance at 50,000 remains a strong barrier.
- Trading Strategy: Use options strategies like straddles to capitalize on volatility. Avoid aggressive longs.
Trading Strategies for Monday, 11-08-2025
- Support and Resistance Trading:
- Buy near support levels (e.g., Nifty50 at 22,800) with a stop-loss 1% below.
- Sell near resistance (e.g., Nifty50 at 23,500) with a stop-loss 1% above.
- Breakout Trading:
- Enter long positions on a breakout above resistance with high volume confirmation.
- Short below support levels with RSI below 40 for confirmation.
- Options Trading:
- Use straddles or strangles for Bank Nifty due to high volatility.
- Hedge positional trades with options to manage risk.
- Risk Management:
- Limit position size to 2–3% of capital.
- Set stop-losses based on support/resistance levels.
- Monitor India VIX for volatility spikes.
Latest News Impacting the Indian Stock Market
- Global Economic Concerns: Weak US economic data and China’s deflationary pressures (PPI down 3.6%) may keep investors cautious.
- India’s GDP Data: Upcoming Q3FY25 GDP data on February 28, 2025, could influence long-term sentiment.
- Sector Performance: Defensive sectors like Nifty Pharma (-9% from highs) and Nifty IT are outperforming cyclical sectors like Nifty PSU Bank (-19%) and Nifty Oil & Gas (-20%).
- FII Activity: Record short positions by FIIs signal bearish sentiment, but low quantities suggest limited downside risk.
Final Thought
The Indian stock market on Monday, August 11, 2025, is likely to remain volatile, with Nifty50 and Bank Nifty under pressure from global cues and FII selling. Traders should focus on support and resistance levels, monitor top gainers like Coal India and Eicher Motors, and be cautious with losers like IndusInd Bank and Axis Bank. Stocks to watch include Torrent Pharma and JSW Energy for their resilience. By employing disciplined trading strategies and robust risk management, investors can navigate the market effectively.
