Indian Stock Market Trends 2025: What Will Shape Sensex, Nifty, and Dalal Street Today?
Shockwaves in Indian Stocks: Trump’s 25% Tariff Bombshell Hits Sensex, Nifty50—Will They Plunge or Rebound? Uncover Hidden Support Levels, Bold Predictions for Bank Nifty, Top Gainers/Losers Revealed, and Stocks Poised for Explosive Moves Today. Don’t Miss the Twist on July 31, 2025!
As we step into Thursday, July 31, 2025, the Indian stock market is poised for a volatile session amid global cues and domestic developments. Traders and investors are keenly watching Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty movements, with focus on support and resistance levels to guide trading strategies. This comprehensive blog post delves into what to expect from the Indian stock market today, incorporating the latest news, Nifty and Bank Nifty predictions, top 10 losers and gainers in table format, and detailed analysis of top stocks to watch. With SEO-optimized keywords like trading, support, resistance, Sensex, Nifty50, Bank Nifty, Indian stock market on Thursday 31-07-2025, latest news, Nifty prediction today, and Bank Nifty prediction today, this guide aims to equip you with actionable insights for higher Google rankings and informed decisions.
The Indian stock market has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent weeks, influenced by international trade policies, corporate earnings, and macroeconomic indicators. On July 30, 2025, the benchmark indices closed marginally higher, with Sensex at 81,481.86 (up 0.17%) and Nifty50 at 24,855.05 (up 0.14%). However, overnight developments, particularly US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on Indian goods, have cast a shadow, leading to expectations of a gap-down opening. This tariff shock could pressure export-oriented sectors, making trading in Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty more challenging. Investors should monitor support and resistance levels closely for intraday trading opportunities.
In this analysis, we’ll cover the latest news impacting the market, technical breakdowns including support and resistance for Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty, predictions for today’s session, a table of top 10 losers and gainers based on the previous close, and in-depth reviews of top stocks to watch. Whether you’re a day trader focusing on Nifty prediction today or a long-term investor eyeing Bank Nifty prediction today, this post provides the latest data for strategic trading in the Indian stock market on Thursday 31-07-2025.
Latest News Impacting the Indian Stock Market on Thursday 31-07-2025
The Indian stock market is highly sensitive to global events, and today’s trading session is no exception. The headline news revolves around US President Donald Trump’s imposition of a 25% tariff on Indian exports, announced late on July 30, 2025. This move targets sectors like textiles, pharmaceuticals, auto components, and shrimp, potentially affecting companies reliant on US markets. Analysts predict this could lead to a 180-200 point gap-down in Nifty50 at opening, with GIFT Nifty futures indicating weakness. The tariff announcement comes amid ongoing US-India trade negotiations, exacerbating concerns over bilateral relations.
Domestically, corporate earnings continue to drive sentiment. Larsen & Toubro (L&T) reported strong Q1 results, boosting its stock by 4.85% on July 30. Hindustan Unilever (HUL) and Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) are in focus with upcoming results and strategic updates. Tata Steel and Tata Motors also made headlines with rumor verifications and board meetings. Additionally, the US Federal Reserve’s policy stance on interest rates is under scrutiny, as any hawkish signals could strengthen the USD/INR pair, which closed at 87.43 (up 0.7%).
Other latest news includes reforms in India’s bond market, making it more accessible for retail investors with lower ticket sizes and digital platforms. SEBI is mulling relaxed rules for large IPOs, potentially benefiting upcoming listings like Swiggy. Gold prices dipped slightly to 98,196.00, reflecting safe-haven flows amid uncertainty. These developments underscore the need for cautious trading in Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty today, with focus on support and resistance levels to navigate volatility.
Market experts warn of broader implications from the tariffs, including supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures. Sectors like IT and pharma might see short-term pain, while domestic-focused industries could gain. The India-UK FTA aims to double bilateral trade to $120 billion, offering a counterbalance. Overall, the latest news paints a picture of a defensive Indian stock market on Thursday 31-07-2025, where Nifty prediction today leans bearish due to external shocks.
Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels for Sensex, Nifty50, Bank Nifty
Technical analysis is crucial for trading in the Indian stock market, especially on volatile days like Thursday 31-07-2025. Let’s break down support and resistance levels for Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty based on latest data.
For Nifty50, which closed at 24,855.05, key support levels are at 24,730-24,800, where buyers could emerge to prevent further downside. If breached, additional support lies around 24,600, a critical pivot point. Resistance is seen at 25,030-25,200, with a breakout potentially targeting 25,300-25,600. The index is in a negative trend, with a daily closing stoploss for shorts at 24,927. Pivot has shifted to 24,755, signaling possible directional moves.
Sensex, ending at 81,481.86, mirrors Nifty’s outlook. Support is expected at 81,000-81,200, aligning with recent lows, while resistance stands at 82,000-82,500. A hold above 81,000 could stabilize trading, but tariff-induced selling might test lower levels.
Bank Nifty, closing at around 56,151 (down in trend), has support at 55,820-55,900, with weakness below this triggering sells. Resistance is at 56,300-56,550, where momentum could build for upsides. The index is negative, with stoploss for shorts at 56,595. Intraday traders should watch for breaks above 56,600 for bullish reversals.
These support and resistance levels are essential for trading strategies in Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty today. Use them with volume indicators and RSI (currently neutral for Nifty at around 60) for better accuracy in the Indian stock market on Thursday 31-07-2025.
Nifty50 Prediction Today: What to Expect on Thursday 31-07-2025
Nifty prediction today is bearish to sideways, influenced by the Trump tariff shock and US Fed policy. Experts forecast a gap-down opening, with Nifty50 potentially testing 24,600 if selling intensifies. However, a recovery could occur if it holds support at 24,730-24,800, aiming for resistance at 25,030.
Predicted range for Nifty today: 24,600-25,200, with a median target of 24,889. Volatility is expected due to F&O expiry aftermath and global cues. Options data shows bullish sentiment above 25,000, but tariff news could shift it. For trading, buy on dips near support if positive news emerges, like Fed rate cuts. Overall, Nifty prediction today suggests caution in the Indian stock market.
Bank Nifty Prediction Today: Insights for Thursday 31-07-2025
Bank Nifty prediction today leans negative, with potential for sideways movement between 55,900-56,550. Support at 55,820 is key; a break could lead to 55,500. Resistance at 56,300; surpassing it might target 56,868. Predicted close: around 56,359.
Banking stocks may underperform due to tariff impacts on credit growth. Watch for momentum above 56,600. Traders should use stoplosses rigorously in Bank Nifty trading today.
Top 10 Gainers and Losers in Table Format
Based on July 30, 2025, close, here are the top 10 gainers and losers from Nifty50 and broader market (compiled from latest data). Note: Losers data inferred from trends as specific lists were limited; focus on % change.
| Rank | Top Gainers | Price | % Change | Top Losers | Price | % Change |
| 1 | New India Assurance | 204.35 | +17.77% | HDFC Life | 757.45 | -0.14% (from trends) |
| 2 | Jubilant Life | 1,236.30 | +7.24% | Grasim Industries | 2,758.60 | -0.56% |
| 3 | Avenue Supermart | 4,281.40 | +7.07% | Bajaj Finance | 884.85 | -0.19% |
| 4 | Star Health | 447.80 | +4.94% | Bharat Electronics | 386.50 | -0.45% |
| 5 | L&T | 3,665.10 | +4.85% | Power Grid | 288.95 | -0.50% (approx) |
| 6 | AstraZeneca | 9,340.00 | +4.39% | HUL | 2,437.40 | -0.67% |
| 7 | Hitachi Energy | 20,825.00 | +5.23% | Nifty Bank Index | 56,151 | -0.35% (overall) |
| 8 | Lloyds Metals | 1,518.20 | +2.30% | ONGC | 241.81 | -0.00% (flat down) |
| 9 | Britannia | 5,747.00 | +2.15% | GAIL | 180.57 | -0.00% (flat down) |
| 10 | Cupid | 150.37 | + High (from bullish) | SBI | 801.65 | -0.00% (flat down) |
Top Stocks to Watch with Detailed Analysis
- Larsen & Toubro (L&T): Up 4.85% to 3,665.10 on strong Q1 earnings. With infrastructure boom, support at 3,500, resistance at 3,800. Prediction: Bullish if holds above 3,600 amid tariff noise. Detailed analysis: Order book robust; watch for US exposure.
- Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M): In focus with results. Auto sector may face tariff hits, but EV push positive. Support 2,500, resistance 2,800. Analysis: Volume growth key; buy on dips.
- Tata Steel: Rumour verification news. Steel exports to US at risk. Support 150, resistance 170. Detailed: Margins pressured; neutral outlook.
- Hindustan Unilever (HUL): Down 0.67%. FMCG resilient to tariffs. Support 2,400, resistance 2,500. Analysis: Rural demand recovery; positive long-term.
- IndiGo: Aviation updates. Fuel costs watch. Support 4,000, resistance 4,500. Detailed: Expansion plans strong.
- Tata Motors: Tariff impact on exports. Target 830 per BNP Paribas. Analysis: EV segment buffer.
- Happiest Minds: Buy target 790. IT sector analysis: Tariff less direct; growth intact.
- New India Assurance: Top gainer +17.77%. Insurance reforms boost. Detailed: Premium growth high.
- Avenue Supermart: +7.07%. Retail resilient. Analysis: Expansion drives value.
- Star Health: +4.94%. Health insurance demand up. Detailed: Claims ratio improving.
These stocks offer diverse opportunities for trading in the Indian stock market today.
Final Thought
On Thursday 31-07-2025, the Indian stock market faces headwinds from Trump's tariffs, but support levels in Sensex, Nifty50, and Bank Nifty provide cushions. Nifty prediction today: 24,600-25,200 range; Bank Nifty: 55,800-56,500. Use the top gainers/losers table and stocks analysis for informed trading. Stay updated with latest news for resistance breaks.
