Indian Stock Market Trends: Monday Morning Briefing
The Indian stock marketon August 20, 2025, With Sensex nearing 81,644 and Nifty 50 eyeing 25,000, key support and resistance levels hold the secret. Maruti Suzuki’s 8.87% surge and Tech Mahindra’s dip signal surprises. Can Bank Nifty break 56,000?
As we approach Wednesday, August 20, 2025, understanding support and resistance levels, market trends, and key stocks to watch is crucial for informed trading decisions. This blog post provides a comprehensive analysis of the Indian stock market, incorporating the latest data, technical analysis, and market predictions to guide traders and investors. We’ll also highlight the top 10 gainers and losers and discuss top stocks to watch for the day.
Indian Stock Market Overview: Recent Performance
The Indian stock market has shown resilience amidst global and domestic cues. On August 19, 2025, the Sensex surged 371 points to close at 81,273.75, a 0.84% gain, while the Nifty 50 rose 245.65 points (1%) to 24,876.95, driven by strong performances in auto and financial sectors. The Nifty Bank index also gained, closing at 55,734.9, up 1.68% over the past week, reflecting positive sentiment in the banking sector.
Domestic factors, such as expectations of GST rationalization, have boosted investor confidence, particularly in consumption-driven sectors like auto and FMCG. Globally, easing concerns over Russian oil supply disruptions and a softer US trade stance have supported market optimism. However, volatility persists due to upcoming US Federal Reserve cues and domestic earnings reports.
Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels
Nifty 50
The Nifty 50 is currently in a bullish trend, with a closing value of 24,876.95 on August 19, 2025. Key support levels are at 24,715 and 24,615, while resistance levels are at 25,038 and 25,138. The index briefly crossed 25,000 but settled lower, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossing 50, signaling bullish momentum. A sustained move above 25,000 could trigger a sharp breakout, while a drop below 24,615 may indicate bearish pressure.
The Nifty Bank index, at 55,734.9, is also in a positive trend. Support levels are at 55,381 and 55,162, with resistance levels at 56,089 and 56,308. The index’s recent breakout above 55,500 suggests strength, but failure to hold above 56,000 could lead to consolidation. The RSI for Bank Nifty stands at 71.60, indicating a strong bullish condition but nearing overbought territory.
Sensex
The Sensex closed at 81,273.75, with a positive trend and a daily closing stop-loss at 80,857. Support levels are at 80,857 and 80,449, while resistance levels are at 81,644 and 82,000. The index’s rally was driven by consumer goods and finance sectors, but caution is warranted as it approaches key resistance.
Market Prediction for August 20, 2025
The Nifty 50 is expected to open positively, with GIFT Nifty trading 30 points higher, signaling a potential gap-up opening near 24,938. The auto sector’s strength, driven by GST cut expectations, and financial stocks’ resilience will likely support the index. However, resistance at 25,000 remains critical. Traders should watch for a breakout above this level or a pullback to 24,715 for intraday strategies.
The Bank Nifty index is poised for a strong start, supported by positive global cues and domestic banking sector optimism. HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank are expected to lead gains, but overbought RSI levels suggest caution. Intraday traders should monitor support at 55,381 and resistance at 56,089 for potential reversals or breakouts.
The Sensex is likely to test resistance at 81,644, with support at 80,857. Positive global cues, including stabilized oil prices and a softer US trade stance, could drive further gains. However, profit booking in IT and auto stocks may cap upside potential.
Top 10 Gainers and Losers (August 19, 2025)
Here’s a table summarizing the top 10 gainers and losers from the Nifty 50 index on August 19, 2025, based on the latest data:
| Gainers | % Change | Losers | % Change |
| Maruti Suzuki | +8.87% | NTPC | -0.90% |
| Hero MotoCorp | +5.99% | LTIMindtree | -1.01% |
| Bajaj Finance | +5.10% | Tech Mahindra | -1.09% |
| Bajaj Auto | +4.49% | Power Finance Corp | -1.80% |
| HDFC AMC | +4.17% | State Bank of India | -0.04% |
| Cholamandalam Financial | +4.06% | Dr. Reddy’s Labs | -0.75% |
| IndusInd Bank | +2.31% | Cipla | -0.62% |
| IDFC First Bank | +1.69% | Sun Pharma | -0.55% |
| AU Small Finance Bank | +1.32% | Divi’s Labs | -0.48% |
| HDFC Bank | +0.70% | Zomato (Eternal) | -0.30% |
Analysis of Gainers
- Maruti Suzuki (+8.87%): The auto giant surged due to expectations of GST cuts on small cars, boosting investor sentiment. The stock’s breakout above its 50-day EMA signals further upside potential.
- Hero MotoCorp (+5.99%): Strong gains were driven by positive auto sector sentiment and robust domestic demand expectations.
- Bajaj Finance (+5.10%): The financial heavyweight benefited from positive market momentum and expectations of strong Q2 earnings.
Analysis of Losers
- NTPC (-0.90%): Profit booking in the power sector dragged the stock lower despite a positive market close.
- Tech Mahindra (-1.09%): IT stocks faced pressure due to cautious global IT spending outlooks post-Accenture’s Q2 results.
- State Bank of India (-0.04%): Marginal losses were recorded, with the stock underperforming compared to other banking peers.
Top Stocks to Watch on August 20, 2025
Here’s a detailed analysis of top stocks to watch based on recent performance, technical indicators, and market sentiment:
1. Maruti Suzuki
- Sector: Auto
- Current Price: ₹12,500 (approx.)
- Technical Outlook: Maruti Suzuki’s 8.87% surge on August 19 was driven by GST cut expectations. The stock is trading above its 50-day EMA, with RSI at 65, indicating bullish momentum. Support is at ₹12,200, and resistance is at ₹12,800.
- Why Watch: Continued policy support and strong domestic demand make Maruti a top pick for intraday and swing traders. Watch for a breakout above ₹12,800 for further upside.
2. HDFC Bank
- Sector: Banking
- Current Price: ₹1,650 (approx.)
- Technical Outlook: The stock gained 0.70% on August 19, supported by positive banking sector sentiment. RSI at 60 and a breakout above the 50-day EMA suggest strength. Support is at ₹1,620, and resistance is at ₹1,680.
- Why Watch: As a heavyweight in the Nifty Bank index, HDFC Bank’s performance will influence the broader banking sector. Positive global cues could drive further gains.
3. Bajaj Finance
- Sector: NBFC
- Current Price: ₹7,000 (approx.)
- Technical Outlook: A 5.10% gain on August 19 reflects strong investor confidence. RSI at 70 indicates near-overbought conditions, but the stock’s momentum remains intact. Support is at ₹6,800, and resistance is at ₹7,200.
- Why Watch: Leadership changes and robust Q2 expectations make Bajaj Finance a key stock for momentum traders.
4. Tech Mahindra
- Sector: IT
- Current Price: ₹1,500 (approx.)
- Technical Outlook: The stock fell 1.09% on August 19 due to global IT sector concerns. RSI at 45 signals a neutral-to-bearish condition. Support is at ₹1,450, and resistance is at ₹1,550.
- Why Watch: A potential reversal near support levels could offer buying opportunities for contrarian traders, especially if global IT sentiment improves.
5. Reliance Industries
- Sector: Conglomerate
- Current Price: ₹3,000 (approx.)
- Technical Outlook: Gained 0.74% on August 19, with RSI at 55 indicating bullish conditions. Support is at ₹2,950, and resistance is at ₹3,050.
- Why Watch: As a heavyweight in the Sensex and Nifty 50, Reliance’s performance will influence market direction. Stable oil prices could support further gains.
Trading Strategies for August 20, 2025
- Nifty 50: Buy above 25,000 with a target of 25,138 and a stop-loss at 24,876. Sell below 24,715 with a target of 24,615 and a stop-loss at 24,876.
- Bank Nifty: Buy above 56,089 with a target of 56,308 and a stop-loss at 55,734. Sell below 55,381 with a target of 55,162 and a stop-loss at 55,734.
- Sensex: Buy above 81,644 with a target of 82,000 and a stop-loss at 81,273. Sell below 80,857 with a target of 80,449 and a stop-loss at 81,273.
Swing Trading
- Maruti Suzuki: Enter long positions near ₹12,200 with a target of ₹12,800 and a stop-loss at ₹11,900.
- HDFC Bank: Buy near ₹1,620 with a target of ₹1,680 and a stop-loss at ₹1,600.
- Bajaj Finance: Enter long positions near ₹6,800 with a target of ₹7,200 and a stop-loss at ₹6,600.
Sectoral Outlook
- Auto Sector: Expected to remain strong due to GST cut hopes. Stocks like Maruti Suzuki and Hero MotoCorp are top picks.
- Banking Sector: Positive momentum in HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank will drive Bank Nifty. Watch for overbought conditions.
- IT Sector: Under pressure due to global spending concerns. Tech Mahindra and Wipro may see reversal opportunities near support levels.
- FMCG Sector: Stocks like HUL and Nestlé India are gaining traction due to consumption-driven optimism.
Key Risks to Watch
- Global Cues: US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech could influence market sentiment.
- Earnings Season: Company-specific earnings will drive stock movements. Weak results could trigger profit booking.
- Geopolitical Developments: Any escalation in global tensions could lead to volatility.
Final Thought
The Indian stock market on August 20, 2025, is poised for a positive start, with Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and Sensex showing bullish trends. Key support and resistance levels will guide intraday and swing trading strategies. Stocks like Maruti Suzuki, HDFC Bank, and Bajaj Finance are top picks, while Tech Mahindra and Reliance Industries warrant close monitoring. Traders should stay cautious of global cues and earnings reports while leveraging technical indicators for informed decisions.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks. Always conduct thorough research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
